Change over time

GDES-396 spring 2020 (David Ramos, American University Design) · office hours

Take a look at tables of the largest cities in the US for 1790, 1890, and 1990, from a Census bureau report on the 100 largest cities. There’s a story in these data.

The U.S. of 1790 is hard to recognize. At the time of the first Census, Salem, Mass. comes in 7th, with a population of 7,921. ¶ The 1890 Census shows booming industrial cities in the Northeast and the growing strength of the Midwest. Los Angeles is in 57th place, population 50,395, far behind boomtown Buffalo (11th place, population 255,664). Salem only just makes the list, in 100th place and 30,801 people. ¶ By 1990, Los Angeles has climbed to 2nd place, and four of the ten largest cities are in the Sunbelt.

photo of passengers on ship with Lower Manhattan behind

Lower Manhattan seen from the S.S. Coamo leaving New York. Jack Delano, Farm Security Administration, December 1941. (Library of Congress.)


Your challenge, for this next exercise, is to explore the population data for American cities, past and present, to find insights within those data, and to communicate those insights in a visualization.

A few more seeds of ideas: The 1830 Census showed Baltimore as the second largest city in the country, but it is 30th today. Washington, D.C.’s population had been falling since just after WWII, but it recently rebounded and just hit 700,000. Detroit’s population plummeted in recent decades, forcing city leaders to make plans to help the city shrink.

You do not necessarily need to plot two centuries worth of Census data. It might be more illuminating to show us two or three years, especially if you are comparing several cities.

Start this project by exploring data

First, take a look at a CSV file that I compiled, with the 2000 and 2010 Census populations for selected cities (ZIP). Look at the data and plot them.

You have options if you want more depth

If you want to explore recent data for any U.S. city, American FactFinder is probably the easiest way to find recent Census data about particular geographies. Type in the name and state of a city. The results page shows the total population from the 2010 Census. Down the page, there is a link to the “General Demographic Characteristics” for Census 2000—that’s the 2000 population. The 2018 Population Estimates offer the most recent population data, though they are less precise than the decennial censuses.

The Census Bureau report discussed in the introduction, Population of the 100 Largest Cities and Other Urban Places in the United States: 1790 to 1990, is an excellent source for historical populations. Data come in the form of text tables, which you’ll have to reformat.

Wikipedia often provides perfectly adequate background material and links to sources. See the List of United States cities by population article. Take care: if you must use Wikipedia data, make sure you know where the data are coming from and what they represent.

On to design

As with the previous assignment, produce two versions. Make one version as legible and understandable as possible, and have the other express the meaning in the most compelling or intriguing way.

Your final project can be rough in the sense that type, color, and rendering need not be polished. (You can produce this by hand.) What’s important is that you think about techniques for visualizing change over time. Details still matter—they just don’t need to be finessed in software.

Each version might consist of a single visualization (that is, one figure), but you could also arrange several visualizations on the same page.


Tools and methods

Anything, really. RawGraphs/Flourish or a spreadsheet will probably prove useful for exploring and for creating a rough visualization. You can make the final versions with Illustrator, by hand, or by another method.

For ideas about ways to approach this task, see chapters 5 and 8 from The Truthful Art. You might also look at the Showing Data Over Time selections at the Data Visualisation Catalogue, though not all of these choices are appropriate for the data or for your schedule.

Issues to watch for

The boundaries of cities change, sometimes dramatically. In 1890, Brooklyn and New York City still existed as separate municipalities. The present-day New York City, with its five boroughs, was consolidated in 1898. In general, cities grow to encompass ever-larger geographical areas. It is extremely rare for a city’s boundaries to contract, though that will soon happen in Georgia.

All of the sources linked on this sheet are comparing cities, but if you are thinking about a figure you read elsewhere, make sure that you are comparing apples to apples. The Census Bureau reports the populations of many different types of geographies. We are talking here about cities, defined by their corporate borders, not CSAs (Combined Statistical Areas or MSAs (Metropolitan Statistical Areas). The 2010 population of Washington, D.C., was just over 600,000, but the population of the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV MSA—a region that sweeps from Harpers Ferry to the shores of the Chesapeake Bay—was 5,582,170.